{"id":11391,"date":"2016-05-11T08:04:29","date_gmt":"2016-05-11T15:04:29","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/spijue.wpengine.com\/news\/its-not-just-alberta-warming-fueled-fires-are-increasing\/"},"modified":"2016-05-11T08:04:29","modified_gmt":"2016-05-11T15:04:29","slug":"its-not-just-alberta-warming-fueled-fires-are-increasing","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.juneauempire.com\/news\/its-not-just-alberta-warming-fueled-fires-are-increasing\/","title":{"rendered":"It’s not just Alberta: Warming fueled fires are increasing"},"content":{"rendered":"

WASHINGTON \u2014<\/strong> Alberta\u2019s unusually early and large fire is just the latest of many gargantuan fires on an Earth that\u2019s grown hotter with more extreme weather.<\/p>\n

Earlier this year, large wildfires hit spots on opposite ends of the world \u2014 Tasmania and Oklahoma-Kansas. Last year, Alaska and California pushed the U.S. to a record 10 million acres burned. Massive fires hit Siberia, Mongolia and China last year and Brazil\u2019s fire season has increased by a month over the past three decades.<\/p>\n

It got so bad that in 2009, Australia added a bright red \u201ccatastrophic\u201d to its fire warning index.<\/p>\n

\u201cThe warmer it is, the more fires we get,\u201d said Mike Flannigan, a professor of wildland fire at the University of Alberta.<\/p>\n

This week, temperatures pushed past 90 degrees Fahrenheit in Alberta, which is unusual for May in northern Canada.<\/p>\n

It\u2019s not quite so simple though. Many factors contribute to the complex increase in big fires, Flannigan and several experts said. They include climate change, the way people use land and firefighting methods that leave more fuel \u2014 trees and brush \u2014 to burn.<\/p>\n

But the temperature one stands out, Flannigan said.<\/p>\n

\u201cThe Alberta wildfires are an excellent example of what we\u2019re seeing more and more of: warming means snow melts earlier, soils and vegetation dries out earlier, and the fire season starts earlier. It\u2019s a train wreck,\u201d University of Arizona climate scientist Jonathan Overpeck wrote in an email.<\/p>\n

Worldwide, the length of Earth\u2019s fire season increased nearly 19 percent from 1979 to 2013, according to a study by Mark Cochrane, a professor of fire ecology at South Dakota State University.<\/p>\n

Fires had steadily been increasing, but then in the late 1990s and early 2000s, \u201cwe\u2019ve suddenly been hit with lots of these large fires we can\u2019t control,\u201d Cochrane said.<\/p>\n

In terms of acreage burned, the worldwide total may be dropping because of better firefighting, but in North America and Siberia \u201cfires have grown quite a bit due to warming,\u201d Columbia University climate and ecology scientist Park Williams wrote in an email. \u201cMy estimate is that global warming has been responsible for about half of this increase.\u201d<\/p>\n

For the entire U.S., the 10-year average number of acres burned in wildfires has more than doubled from about 3 million acres in the mid-1980s to 7 million acres now, according to an analysis of government data by The Associated Press.<\/p>\n

Twelve years before the Fort McMurray fire set northern Alberta ablaze, a study by Flannigan and University of Victoria climate scientist Andrew Weaver found that \u201chuman-induced climate change has had a detectable influence\u201d on a dramatic increase in wildfires in Canada. Flannigan said the area burned in Canada has doubled since the 1970s \u201cand we think that\u2019s due to climate change.\u201d<\/p>\n

\u201cGlobally we are seeing more fires, bigger fires, more severe fires,\u201d said Kevin Ryan, a retired U.S. Forest Service scientist who is now a fire consultant, with a recent stint in Indonesia, where fires were big last year.<\/p>\n

Fires in some places, such as Indonesia and Canada, are bad when there\u2019s an El Nino \u2014 a warming of parts of the Pacific that changes weather worldwide \u2014 because it triggers drought in those regions, Ryan said. In Indonesia, changes in land use are a bigger factor than climate, Ryan said.<\/p>\n

But elsewhere, it\u2019s temperature and moisture, too much of one and not enough of the other, scientists said. As the air warms, it gets \u201cmore efficient at sucking the moisture out of the fuels\u201d which makes them more prone to burn, Flannigan said. Then add in lightning. A study found that lightning increases 12 percent with every degree Celsius and that can trigger more fires. Flannigan said there\u2019s evidence of fire-triggered clouds in Alberta causing at least two more fires because of lightning.<\/p>\n

The U.S. National Academy of Sciences earlier this year in a study determined that \u201cclimate warming has resulted in longer fire seasons.\u201d But other factors, such as the way fires are fought and land use, make it difficult to scientifically attribute individual fires and regional fires to climate change, the report and other scientists said.<\/p>\n

\u201cThis is absolutely a harbinger of things to come,\u201d said Canadian climate scientist Weaver, now a Green party legislator in the British Columbia parliament.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

WASHINGTON \u2014 Alberta\u2019s unusually early and large fire is just the latest of many gargantuan fires on an Earth that\u2019s grown hotter with more extreme weather. Earlier this year, large wildfires hit spots on opposite ends of the world \u2014 Tasmania and Oklahoma-Kansas. Last year, Alaska and California pushed the U.S. to a record 10 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":107,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_stopmodifiedupdate":false,"_modified_date":"","wds_primary_category":4,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[230],"yst_prominent_words":[],"class_list":["post-11391","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news","tag-state-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.juneauempire.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11391","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.juneauempire.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.juneauempire.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.juneauempire.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/107"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.juneauempire.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=11391"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.juneauempire.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11391\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.juneauempire.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=11391"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.juneauempire.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=11391"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.juneauempire.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=11391"},{"taxonomy":"yst_prominent_words","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.juneauempire.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/yst_prominent_words?post=11391"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}