{"id":34926,"date":"2018-08-31T16:23:00","date_gmt":"2018-08-31T23:23:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/spijue.wpengine.com\/news\/juneau-democrats-divided-over-begich-campaign\/"},"modified":"2018-09-06T12:27:57","modified_gmt":"2018-09-06T19:27:57","slug":"juneau-democrats-divided-over-begich-campaign","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.juneauempire.com\/home\/juneau-democrats-divided-over-begich-campaign\/","title":{"rendered":"Juneau Democrats divided over Begich campaign"},"content":{"rendered":"

Juneau is normally a Democratic stronghold, but when it comes to this year’s race for governor, it is a town divided.<\/p>\n

With days remaining until the deadline for a candidate to withdraw from a race, dozens of Democratic supporters in Juneau have signed a petition<\/a> urging their party’s candidate, Mark Begich, to withdraw from the race.<\/p>\n

They are among 700 people, including some sitting lawmakers, who have signed the petition.<\/p>\n

“I think the Democratic Party and those who are affiliated with it … are quite divided,” said former Juneau mayor Bruce Botelho, one of the people who signed the petition.<\/p>\n

This year, instead of supporting the Democratic Party’s candidate, Botelho has signed up as a regional co-chair for the re-election of independent Gov. Bill Walker.<\/p>\n

He’s not alone: Walker signs dot lawns across the capital city, and fundraisers for the governor have taken place in the homes of families who traditionally vote for Democratic candidates.<\/p>\n

Kim Metcalfe has seen the division closer than most. She used to lead the Tongass Democrats, the Democratic organization for Juneau. Now, she’s director of Begich for Alaska<\/a>, an independent expenditure group intended to support Begich’s run for governor.<\/p>\n

“You’re going to start to see things, I think, start to swing in favor of Begich,” she said.<\/p>\n

She supports the Democratic candidate even though members of her own family have signed the petition.<\/p>\n

“That petition, I don’t know how much good that does anybody,” she said.<\/p>\n

“I think it’s kind of juvenile.”<\/p>\n

In House District 33, which covers Haines, Skagway, Douglas and downtown Juneau, 23 percent of registered voters are registered as Democrats. That’s a higher proportion than any other district in Alaska.<\/p>\n

Statewide, there are just under 75,000 registered Democrats in Alaska. There are more than 140,000 registered Republicans. In order to win statewide office, a Democrat needs to win over a significant fraction of the state’s nonpartisan and undeclared voters while holding on to their base.<\/p>\n

Begich did that in 2008, when he was elected to the U.S. Senate over longtime incumbent Ted Stevens. (There were other factors in play as well. Stevens was convicted in a criminal trial just before the election, only to see the convictions subsequently reversed<\/a>.)<\/p>\n

This time around, Democrats are divided for two main reasons.<\/p>\n

In 2014, Walker joined Democratic gubernatorial candidate Byron Mallott in a “unity ticket” for governor.<\/p>\n

Mallott became lieutenant governor, and he brought many Democrats into the new administration.<\/p>\n

“The Juneau Democrats, overall, I think adopted well to the unity ticket in 2014 and would like to see a continuation of the efforts reflected in that unity ticket,” Botelho said.<\/p>\n

The second factor is that many Democratic voters are thinking strategically in the general election.<\/p>\n

Polls throughout the summer have indicated that a three-way race among Begich, Walker and Republican Mike Dunleavy will result in the election of Dunleavy.<\/p>\n

In early July, when the first of those polls was released to the public, Begich traveled to Juneau<\/a> and said Walker’s performance in the polls was declining and Dunleavy’s was stagnant.<\/p>\n

Now, the latest polls<\/a> show Dunleavy has slightly improved, while the performance of Walker and Begich has held firm. While polls variously show Walker leading Begich or vice-versa in a three-way race, Dunleavy is consistently in the lead.<\/p>\n

That changes if the three-way race shrinks to two. Polls predicated on that condition show Begich and Walker each beating Dunleavy if they are his only major-party opponent.<\/p>\n

Neither Begich nor Walker have shown any signs of bowing out, however.<\/p>\n

“It’s scary, but he’s a numbers guy and he’s looked at those numbers and has figured there’s a way to win,” Metcalfe said.<\/p>\n

A Begich spokeswoman said Friday that Begich intends to remain in the race, and both Walker and Begich have campaign events scheduled well past Tuesday, the withdrawal deadline.<\/p>\n


\n

\u2022 Contact reporter James Brooks at jbrooks@juneauempire.com or 523-2258.<\/b><\/p>\n


\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Juneau is normally a Democratic stronghold, but when it comes to this year’s race for governor, it is a town divided.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":426,"featured_media":34927,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_stopmodifiedupdate":false,"_modified_date":"","wds_primary_category":9,"footnotes":""},"categories":[9,4],"tags":[39,350,68,139,230],"yst_prominent_words":[],"class_list":["post-34926","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-home","category-news","tag-election-2018","tag-governor-bill-walker","tag-mark-begich","tag-mike-dunleavy","tag-state-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.juneauempire.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/34926","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.juneauempire.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.juneauempire.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.juneauempire.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/426"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.juneauempire.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=34926"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.juneauempire.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/34926\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.juneauempire.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/34927"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.juneauempire.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=34926"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.juneauempire.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=34926"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.juneauempire.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=34926"},{"taxonomy":"yst_prominent_words","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.juneauempire.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/yst_prominent_words?post=34926"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}