Rex Tillerson\u2019s testimony at Wednesday\u2019s Senate confirmation hearing for secretary of state offered some relief for those worried about a foreign policy meltdown under Donald Trump.<\/p>\n
The former Exxon Mobil CEO got a bipartisan grilling about his close ties to top Russian leaders. Senators wanted to know if Tillerson could pivot from pursuit of oil in the Russian Arctic to protecting U.S. interests from a hostile Kremlin.<\/p>\n
Not all his answers were clear. But he came across as well-informed and serious (in comparison with the president-elect\u2019s performance at a press conference in New York City). Most surprising, his positions often failed to track with those of Trump, including on Russia.<\/p>\n
This raises an obvious and fascinating question: Will Trump even listen to Tillerson\u2019s advice? Nobody knows.<\/p>\n
There was good reason why members of the Senate Foreign Relations committee gave Tillerson such a grilling. His close relationships with Vladimir Putin, and with Putin\u2019s key ally, the much-feared Igor Sechin, led to a half-billion-dollar joint venture for Exxon Mobil in the Russian Arctic. In 2013, Putin bestowed the Order of Friendship on Tillerson.<\/p>\n
In June 2014, after Russia had seized Crimea and was attacking eastern Ukraine, Tillerson was schmoozing with Sechin at an oil conference in Moscow. So senators wanted to know whether Tillerson would support continuing the sanctions imposed on Moscow for its Ukraine aggression \u2014 including sanctions on Sechin and the Rosneft state oil company he heads. Exxon Mobil reportedly lobbied to end those sanctions, because they froze the arctic deal.<\/p>\n
The senators also wanted to know if Tillerson backed Putin\u2019s claim that Russia was legally entitled to annex Crimea. Trump has indicated he\u2019d consider that claim and might drop the sanctions.<\/p>\n
\u201cNo, Russia does not have legal claim to Crimea,\u201d Tillerson replied. \u201cRussia was taking territory that was not theirs.\u201d<\/p>\n
As for sanctions, he insisted Exxon had never lobbied to end sanctions over Ukraine, only to get a brief reprieve so they could wind up their Arctic-drilling operation. He also insisted he supported sanctions so long as they did not unduly penalize U.S. companies over European competitors (that reply is a bit wobbly). \u201cSanctions are an important tool,\u201d he added.<\/p>\n
Where things really got interesting, however, was when Tillerson laid out why the Obama team should have responded more firmly to Russia\u2019s invasion of Crimea. Putin would move forward, Tillerson made clear, when he met no resistance, and stop when he did.<\/p>\n
Tillerson said the Russian leader moved on eastern Ukraine because there was no firm military response to the taking of Crimea. Washington should have provided intelligence and air support to Ukrainian military forces, which should have been moved entirely to its eastern border.<\/p>\n
At that time, Ukrainian forces were so weak such a move might not have worked, but the concept is clear: an act of force by Russia \u201crequired a proportionate show of force\u201d to deter Russia from moving forward.<\/p>\n
Russia, he says, has a long-term geographical plan to reestablish what it sees as its role in the world order. \u201cIf they don\u2019t receive a response, they will execute the next step of that plan,\u201d Tillerson said. That, he added, doesn\u2019t rule out cooperation where interests converge \u2014 as happened on Afghanistan \u2014 but \u201con other issues we may be adversaries.\u201d<\/p>\n
Tillerson said he supported NATO, along with enhanced NATO backing for the Baltic nations and Poland \u2014 states Moscow has been threatening. The oilman refused Florida Republican Marco Rubio\u2019s insistence that he brand Putin a \u201cwar criminal.\u201d But he said he was troubled by the Jan. 26 U.S. intel report on Russian hacking and that it was a \u201cfair assumption\u201d Putin was behind it.<\/p>\n
Contrast that hard-nosed approach with the Trump news conference, where the president-elect finally admitted to Russian hacking of the Democratic National Committee but blew it off \u2014 and refused to discuss the hacks in any broader strategic context.<\/p>\n
Instead, Trump insisted the hacking was useful because it reflected badly on Hillary Clinton, and once again praised Putin. \u201cIf Putin likes Donald Trump, I consider that an asset,\u201d he stated.<\/p>\n
In other words, everything was about him, with no mention of Putin\u2019s strategic goal of undermining the United States.<\/p>\n
Will Tillerson be able to persuade his boss to look at the big strategic picture? Will the oilman be able to convince Trump that Putin\u2019s flattery is meant as manipulation? Tillerson appears able to put Kremlin \u201cfriendships\u201d into proper perspective, but we\u2019ll have to see him in action.<\/p>\n
Ditto, for what impact he will have on his boss\u2019 thinking. Tillerson admitted that Trump had not yet discussed Russia with him, despite the centrality of that issue to the oilman\u2019s bio.<\/p>\n
Even GOP legislators grasped the challenge Tillerson will face. Sen. Todd Young, R.-Ind., asked how the secretary-designate would ensure that \u201cthe legs were not cut out from under him\u201d by Trump tweets when he was visiting foreign capitals.<\/p>\n
\u201cIt would be my expectation,\u201d Tillerson delicately replied, \u201cthat any way the president chose to communicate would facilitate the policy we\u2019d agreed on.\u201d<\/p>\n
\u201cAny contingency plan?\u201d Young asked. Tillerson held up his cellphone and replied, \u201cI have his number and he\u2019s promised to answer.\u201d<\/p>\n
\u201cLet\u2019s hope for the best,\u201d said Young.<\/p>\n
\u2022 Trudy Rubin is a columnist for the Philadelphia Inquirer. Readers may email her at trubin@phillynews.com.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Rex Tillerson\u2019s testimony at Wednesday\u2019s Senate confirmation hearing for secretary of state offered some relief for those worried about a foreign policy meltdown under Donald Trump. The former Exxon Mobil CEO got a bipartisan grilling about his close ties to top Russian leaders. Senators wanted to know if Tillerson could pivot from pursuit of oil […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":107,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_stopmodifiedupdate":false,"_modified_date":"","wds_primary_category":8,"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[],"yst_prominent_words":[],"class_list":["post-7389","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-opinion"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.juneauempire.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7389","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.juneauempire.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.juneauempire.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.juneauempire.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/107"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.juneauempire.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=7389"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.juneauempire.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7389\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.juneauempire.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=7389"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.juneauempire.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=7389"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.juneauempire.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=7389"},{"taxonomy":"yst_prominent_words","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.juneauempire.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/yst_prominent_words?post=7389"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}